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Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:21:39+01:0030 November 2018|

Global economic data continues to soften. The next few months will be characterised by a synchronised slowdown – the exact opposite of the synchronised upswing [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:21:33+01:0031 October 2018|

The global economic outlook is deteriorating, while a combination of (1) global debt overhang and (2) rising tensions (not only trade) between the US and [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:21:28+01:0030 September 2018|

This month marked the 10th anniversary of the Great financial crisis. What is its legacy? (1) The whole world is over-indebted, with total global debt (public, [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:21:52+01:0031 August 2018|

The euphoria over a synchronized global upswing has expired. Global growth remains solid, but it is imbalanced and fragile: emerging markets (EM),Europe and Japan are [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:21:44+01:0031 July 2018|

Trade tensions in general and the escalating trade war between the US and China in particular are transforming economic tailwinds into headwinds, notably in the [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:23:30+01:0030 June 2018|

Mounting concerns about trade are exacerbating the deceleration in global growth expectations. If it continues, the current tit-for-tat escalation could become reminiscent of the Smoot-Hawley [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-04-15T13:01:55+02:0031 May 2018|

Global economic growth remains robust, but it is levelling off. Tighter monetary conditions and supply-side constraints mean that the peak in global economic activity is [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:22:16+01:003 April 2018|

Global economic growth remains robust, but it is levelling off. In systemically important countries like Japan or regions like the Eurozone, 2018 won’t be as [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:22:26+01:0031 March 2018|

For the first time in months, economic risks are on the downside. While most forecasts for global growth remain buoyant(at about 4% this year), there [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:22:57+01:0028 February 2018|

With the global economy growing at its fastest rate since 2011, the global output is moving from being below potential to above potential. In other [...]

Monthly Barometer

2021-02-19T12:23:06+01:0031 January 2018|

2018 begins with a marked dissonance between improving economics and deteriorating politics – the greatest risk to the global economy. The current, almost perfectly synchronized,economic [...]

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