Covid-19 Note

Over the last two months, both infection and fatality rates have risen globally. COVID victims are getting younger. But it remains a positive fact [...]

Efficient vaccination programmes are bearing fruit. However, the challenge posed by variants combined with the monumental task of vaccinating the globe threatens to compromise [...]

New, more contagious, and perhaps more resistant variants are derailing global efforts to bring the pandemic to an end. Widespread vaccination and its contingent [...]

As 2021 dawns, optimism turns to anxiety with vaccine delays and the velocity of a new variant of the COVID virus. This, in turn, [...]

US post-Thanksgiving surge upon a surge is breaking sombre COVID records while the record levels of US government funding is to be thanked for [...]

In the US and Europe containment policies and public compliance are left wanting in the face of a major second/third wave. The rich world [...]

Public fatigue and resistance to piecemeal public policy are ill-suited to resist the current resurgence of the pandemic. Now increasingly identified as a syndemic [...]

Covid is both in retreat and resurgence depending on where you are. Many countries haven’t seen the last of lockdowns but ‘living with the [...]

Economic and Epidemiological Impact Analysed in just a few gobbets for time-starved, over-solicited decision-makers Globally, COVID-19 continues to gather pace. It is ebbing in countries [...]

Infection numbers keep rising globally with Africa particularly hard hit. There is no foolproof containment strategy but being outside is increasingly recognised as safer. [...]

COVID-19 Economic and Epidemiological Impact Analysed in just a few gobbets for time-starved, over-solicited decision-makers We are not over the worst. Globally, millions of cases [...]

In numeric terms, the European Covid-19 crisis becomes a footnote, as the pandemic now rages across the rest of the Globe. Containment polices will be [...]

Beware of Western-centricity. Lockdown saved millions from infection, after lockdown residual social distancing continues to do so. For the markets its liquidity! Beware of Western [...]

The virus epicentre shifts to Latin America and with it the risk of social unrest rises. Lockdowns reduced herd immunity but there are still more [...]

“The more we learn about the coronavirus, the more questions arise”. COVID-19 Economic and Epidemiological Impact - Analysed in just a few gobbets for time-starved, [...]

The virus has spread further and faster and is set to last longer than scientist initially expected. As sentiments like fear and confidence influence the [...]

Having successfully contained the first wave of the outbreak and assuming the situation was under control they are now being forced to return to near [...]

A great deal of data but not much certainty. Exit strategies will be even harder than lockdown. Markets seem heartened by resolute government and central [...]

The relation between restrictive measures and negative impact on GDP is not linear. The fallout from negative impact on ’social’ consumption will be long-lasting, normal [...]

Europe is still the epicentre but the pandemic is fast becoming global. COVID-19 Economic and Epidemiological Impact - Analysed in just a few gobbets for [...]

The real danger of Covid-19 lies in the exponential power of compounded growth rates and asymptomatic transmission. For these reasons, lock down and extreme social [...]

From an economic standpoint: the more efficient the containment measures to slow down the epidemic, the greater the economic pain they inflict. COVID-19 Economic and [...]

Economic and Epidemiological Impact Analysed in just a few gobbets for time-starved, over-solicited decision-makers From an economic perspective, Covid-19 = demand shock + supply [...]