Project Syndicate - 13 Jun 2017
The author identifies four new problems for the coming decade: (1) the region will face intensifying contests over national identities and perhaps even the redrawing of borders; (2) the most populous states will confront a massive youth bulge; (3) the Gulf countries will import fewer workers from the rest of the Arab world, and export less capital to it; (4) the social role of religion is becoming increasingly contested (reads in 5-7 min).
Published in Weekly selection 16 June 2017
Foreign Affairs (metered paywall) - 13 Mar 2017
The two experts explain in plain and simple terms why the days of Saudi Arabia’s oil market dominance are over. US producers are now far ahead of the competition, having become the epicenter of technological innovation in horizontal drilling and fracturing. The challenges facing the Kingdom are immense, with tremendous economic and geopolitical global ramifications (reads in 4-6 min).
Published in Weekly selection 17 March 2017
Foreign Affairs (metered paywall) - 30 Sep 2016
How can the Muslim world escape the dual curse of secular authoritarianism and religious extremism? This is a review of two books that help understanding Islamism and try to explain the dilemmas, paradoxes, and confusion facing political actors in the world’s most volatile region. In particular, it sheds light on why the recent developments - especially the Arab revolts of 2010–11 – have failed to generate “a legitimate, stable political order” (reads in 6-9 min).
Published in Weekly selection 17 September 2016