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Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: GEOPOLITICS
  • GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts, US

    Daniel Russel, "A Historic Breakthrough or a Historic Blunder in Singapore?"

    Foreign Affairs (metered paywall) - 12 Jun 2018

    The former diplomat turned think-tanker ponders whether Kim Jong Un outwitted Trump at the Summit in Singapore (“a mesmerizing political theater”). The short response: the US President is correct in pointing out that he made history in meeting amicably with his North Korean adversary, but it is yet to be determined whether he made a historic breakthrough or a historic blunder. The article delves into the details of what progress each side can credibly claim to have achieved based on its goals coming into the meeting (reads in 6-8 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 15 June 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, Asia, Conflicts

    Sean Illing, "Trump just canceled the North Korea summit. 9 experts explain what happens now"

    Vox - 24 May 2018

    In short: it’s not great. None of the nine experts (all Americans) sees any possible upside in the cancellation. With some substantial variations, all agree that North Korea is the big winner of Trump’s decision and South Korea the loser. For the US President, it is a substantial embarrassment. It’s very hard to get a sense of what comes next (reads in 6-7 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 26 May 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, China, Conflicts, US

    Kishore Mahbubani and Lawrence Summers, "America’s Collision Course With China"

    Project Syndicate - 15 May 2018

    This is an unusually bleak op-ed from a perennial optimist. Kishore worries that the world’s most important bilateral relationship is on a dangerous, slippery slope. In his words, it has become “a source of considerable uncertainty and, potentially, severe instability. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the brewing bilateral trade war”. He attributes squarely the responsibility to the US, worrying that its political polarization and simplistic ideology are driving it into a highly damaging and utterly pointless conflict (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 18 May 2018

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