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Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: GEOPOLITICS
  • GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts, ECONOMICS

    Barry Eichengreen, "Can a Trade War be Averted?"

    Project Syndicate - 10 Apr 2018

    This is one of today’s most pressing questions. The economist thinks the answer is yes: a trade war can be averted. Because China has a higher export-to-GDP ratio than the US, its leaders are more concerned with defending the global trading system than with preserving any particular bilateral balance. By eschewing escalation in response to the Trump administration's widening tariffs on its exports, China avoids jeopardizing the system (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 13 April 2018

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  • ECONOMICS, China, GEOPOLITICS, China, Technology, Innovation

    Edmund Phelps, "Will China Out-Innovate the West?"

    Project Syndicate - 5 Apr 2018

    Yes! The Nobel laureate offers an intriguing response to one of today’s most fundamental questions. In his view, Western governments have for decades protected incumbent firms at the expense of new market entrants. As more and more Chinese companies are realizing that they must innovate in order to get – and stay – ahead in the global economy, he argues, the West urgently needs to change course, or risk being left behind (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 7 April 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, The Middle East

    Dexter Filkins, "A Saudi Prince’s Quest to Remake the Middle East"

    The New Yorker - 9 Apr 2018

    This well-informed article is a long (20min+) but necessary read to understand the intricacies of KSA and get a better sense of whether Mohammed bin Salman is trying to drive out religious extremism, or merely seizing power for himself. Maybe both? The conclusion in the words of a former US official: “No one would have thought that the Saudi leader could take on the royal family, the clerical establishment, and the country’s most powerful businessmen, but he did (…) M.B.S. has always had a combination of vision, hubris, and arrogance, all of which are now playing out. What troubles me about M.B.S. is, he learns from his successes, but not his failures. That’s the danger.”

    Published in Weekly selection 7 April 2018

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