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Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: GEOPOLITICS
  • GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts,

    Noah Smith, "The Biggest Risk That Markets Ignore"

    Bloomberg - 4 Oct 2018

    The odds of an accidental clash (like a small, indecisive conflict between warships in the South China Sea) between the US and China are not insignificant; and the argument that the countries are too economically dependent on each other to go to war doesn’t hold (so were Britain and Germany on the eve of WWI). No one can tell whether a war is likely, but some suggest that a conflict of some sort between the two is inevitable. If it takes place, the global-trade regime as we know it will come to an end, with supply chains across the world unwinding rapidly and painfully (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 5 October 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, SOCIETY, Globalization

    Robert Kagan, "‘America First’ Has Won"

    The New York Times - metered paywallk - 24 Sep 2018

    This is a must-read to understand why Trump’s foreign policy is here to stay. The author of “The Jungle Grows Back; America and Our Imperiled World” affirms that the three pillars of Trump’s ideology — isolationism, protectionism and restricting immigration — were gaining popularity before he became president and will probably outlast his tenure (reads in 6-7 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 5 October 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, Europe, SOCIETY

    Jochen Bittner, "How the Far Right Conquered Sweden"

    The New York Times - metered paywall - 6 Sep 2018

    On Sunday, Sweden - a successful economy and a bastion of social democracy - might end up with a far-right party in government after national elections. This is a must-read to understand how the issue of migration (factual or not) is going to shape politics for years to come. Countries that refuse to deal with the realities of mass immigration are bound to be in trouble (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 8 September 2018

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