- prescient and succint analysis of what's out there

Curation of weekly selections – A distillation of the opinions that count!



Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: ECONOMICS > Forecasting
  • ECONOMICS, Forecasting

    Mathew Burrows, Robert Mannings and Owen Daniels, "Top Risks of 2018"

    Atlantic Council - 4 Jan 2018

    According to these 3 foresight specialists, they are: (1) North Korea On the Brink; (2) United States Poses Obstacle to Global Trade; (3) The United States in More Crisis? (4) Putin’s Post-Electoral Dilemma; (5) Can Europe Function Without a Crisis? (6) No End to Conflict in the Middle East; (7) Worsening Chaos in Yemen; (8) Slow Pace of Reform in Saudi Arabia Risks Sowing Frustration and Resentments; (9) A Scuppered Sputnik Moment for the United States and Europe? (10) Terrorist Threat Increasing Outside the Middle East; (11) Populism: it’s Too Early to Dismiss (reads in 8-10 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 12 January 2018

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  • ECONOMICS, Forecasting, ENVIRONMENT, Sustainability

    Ida Auken, "Welcome to 2030. I own nothing, have no privacy, and life has never been better"

    World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda - 11 Nov 2017

    The Danish MP who’s played a vital role in shaping her country’s environmental policies exposes her vision of the future. Information is free, shopping is dead, robots and AI take over big parts of our jobs, obliging us to rethink our model of growth. Hence, our close relationship with nature is back: walking, biking, cooking, drawing and growing plant re-merge! She’s a voice worth heeding because Denmark is pioneering this future (reads in 4-5 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 11 November 2017

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  • ECONOMICS, Forecasting, GEOPOLITICS, New world order

    Barry Eichengreen, "The Demise of Dollar Diplomacy?"

    Project Syndicate - 11 Oct 2017

    For more than 50 years, pundits have been pronouncing the last rites for the dollar’s global dominance. They may finally be right because the greenback's continuing dominance has been sustained by geopolitical alliances that are now fraying badly. As a new book from Eichengreen demonstrates, a strong and under-appreciated link exists between geopolitical alliances and international currency choice. This suggests that where China leads geopolitically, the renminbi is likely to follow (reads in 4-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 20 October 2017

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