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Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: ECONOMICS
  • ECONOMICS

    Barry Eichengreen, "The Dollar’s Doldrums"

    Project Syndicate - 14 Mar 2018

    Analysts are confronted by an embarrassment of riches to explain the dollar’s decline over the past year. All things being equal, deep tax cuts, Fed interest-rate hikes and tax changes creating incentives for the repatriation of profits should have propped up the dollar, but the opposite happened. There are 17 narratives to explain why it is so. Most overlook the most plausible explanation: Trump-related uncertainty (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 16 March 2018

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  • ECONOMICS

    Michael Johnson, "Here is what you need to know about the risks of a US trade war"

    World Economic Forum - 14 Mar 2018

    This is a simple and very useful explainer from someone who knows a lot about trade policies. The most important take-away: a full-fledged trade war (that is: aggressive tit-for-tat use of tariffs and other administrative actions affecting trade) would cost so much to manufacturers and consumers alike that it is rather unlikely (reads in 6-8 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 16 March 2018

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  • ECONOMICS

    Paul Krugman, "Trade War, What Is It Good For? Absolutely Nothing"

    The New York Times - metered paywall - 3 Mar 2018

    The NYT editorialist is renowned as an economist for his work on trade. He explains in this article why trade isn’t a zero-sum game: it raises the productivity and wealth of the world economy. Trade deficits only become a problem when the economy is depressed, and unemployment is high. At this juncture, a cycle of retaliation would shrink overall world trade, making the world as a whole, and America in particular, poorer (reads in about 4-5 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 9 March 2018

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