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Kenneth Rogoff
Filter: Category: GEOPOLITICS > Conflicts

    Barry Eichengreen, "Can a Trade War be Averted?"

    Project Syndicate - 10 Apr 2018

    This is one of today’s most pressing questions. The economist thinks the answer is yes: a trade war can be averted. Because China has a higher export-to-GDP ratio than the US, its leaders are more concerned with defending the global trading system than with preserving any particular bilateral balance. By eschewing escalation in response to the Trump administration's widening tariffs on its exports, China avoids jeopardizing the system (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 13 April 2018

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  • GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts

    Stephen Walt, "I Knew the Cold War. This Is No Cold War"

    Foreign Policy - metered paywall - 12 Mar 2018

    The Harvard professor explains why everyone's favorite historical analogy (Russia and the West are in a ‘new’ cold war) is plain wrong and makes for disastrous foreign policy today. What’s happening today is bad, but it is a mere shadow of the cold war earlier rivalry. It is human agency and bad policy decisions that have brought the West and Russia to the current impasse that distracts us from more important challenges and discourages policy-makers from thinking creatively about how to move beyond the present level of rancor (reads in 5-7 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 16 March 2018

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  • ENVIRONMENT, Climate Change, GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts

    Jeff Goodell, "Welcome to the Age of Climate Migration"

    Rolling Stones - 27 Mar 2018

    This article focuses on the US but portends a much larger global trend: climate migration. Last year in the US, extreme weather events displaced more than a million people from their homes. As the journalist explains, thus is about to reshape the country and its people in many different respects: economically, financially, socially, and also psychologically for those concerned (reads in more than 15 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 2 March 2018

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